Limit search to available items
Author Yadlin, Amos, author

Title Regime stability in the Middle East : an analytical model to assess the possibility of regime change / Amos Yadlin and Avner Golov
Published Tel Aviv : Institute for National Security Studies, [2013]
Online access available from:
JSTOR Security    View Resource Record  


Description 1 online resource (72 pages) : illustrations (some color)
Series Memorandum ; no. 131
JCSS memorandum ; no. 131
Contents Introduction -- The model -- Case study : Egypt on the eve of the revolution (January 2011) -- Case study : Syria -- Case study : Saudi Arabia -- Case study : Iran -- Conclusion : assessment of regime stability
Summary The wave of uprisings that swept through Arab states in recent years has transformed the Middle East. Against this background, there is a need for a comprehensive analytical model to help assess both the likelihood of regime stability and the probability of regime change. This study proposes a model to identify the key elements that encourage or inhibit regime change. Assigning numerical weight to each of these elements, it analyzes the dynamics between them. Looking at case studies of four states through the prism of the proposed model, the authors examine the elements that led to the instability in Egypt of January 2011, explain why the Saudi Arabian and Iranian regimes are stable, and provide a better understanding of the struggle in Syria, pointing out factors that will be critical to the fate of the civil war
Notes "December 2013."
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 69-72)
Notes Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (INSS, viewed December 24, 2013)
Subject Political stability -- Case studies
Political stability -- Middle East -- Mathematical models
Political stability -- Mathematical models.
Political stability.
Middle East.
Form Electronic book
Author Golov, Avner, author
Makhon le-meḥḳere biṭaḥon leʼumi, publisher