| Description |
1 online resource (iv, 46 pages) : color illustrations |
| Contents |
Executive summary. -- Background. -- The survey. -- Key takeaways. -- China's capabilities. -- Assessing China's capabilities. -- The efficacy of a blockade. -- Significance of Xi's 2027 modernization deadline. -- Factors affecting Beijing's use of force. -- Beijing's varying strategic objectives. -- Ability and willingness to fight. -- U.S. and allied approaches. -- Confidence in U.S. intervention. -- Confidence in intervention by U.S. allies and partners. -- Implications of geopolitical developments. -- The 2024 Taiwan presidential election. -- Likelihood of a 2024 Taiwan Strait crisis. -- Implications of a Chinese economic slowdown. -- Appendices. -- Endnotes |
| Summary |
As the world looks to 2024 and beyond, there are critical questions about what kind of actions China might take to coerce Taiwan or force unification. Might China quarantine or blockade Taiwan, or would Beijing invade? Under what conditions would Beijing take various actions, and how capable is China? What approach should Taiwan, the United States, and its allies pursue? How do certain geopolitical developments change Beijing’s calculus? To make sense of these questions and better understand key trends in China’s approach to Taiwan, the CSIS China Power Project surveyed leading experts and former officials from the United States and Taiwan. The results of this survey provide valuable insights into areas of convergence and divergence in how U.S. and Taiwan experts evaluate China’s approach to Taiwan. This report summarizes the results of the survey and analyzes their implications |
| Notes |
"A report of the CSIS China Power Project"--Title page |
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"January 2024"--Title page |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references (pages 45-46) |
| Notes |
Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (CSIS, viewed January 23, 2024) |
| Subject |
Crisis management -- East Asia -- Public opinion
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| SUBJECT |
China -- Relations -- Taiwan -- Forecasting
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Taiwan -- Relations -- China -- Forecasting
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Taiwan -- International status -- Forecasting
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| Form |
Electronic book
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| Author |
Hart, Brian, author
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Ming-chi, Chen, author
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Ming-shih, Shen, author
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Lu, Samantha, author
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Tinsley, Truly, author
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Liao, Yu-Jie, author
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Center for Strategic and International Studies (Washington, D.C.), publisher.
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