Title Somalia and the Gulf Crisis

Published Brussels, Belgium : International Crisis Group, June 2018

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Description 1 online resource (ii, 28 pages) : color map Series Africa report ; no. 260 ICG Africa report ; no. 260. Contents Introduction (page 1) -- Farmajo's Presidency and the Gulf Crisis (page 3) -- A New Twist to Old Struggles in Mogadishu (page 8) -- Fracturing the Security Sector? (page 11) -- Mogadishu-Federal State Government Friction (page 14) -- A Dangerous Spat with Somaliland (page 17) -- Taking a Step Back (page 19) -- Conclusion (page 22) Summary Clearly, Somalia's many challenges cannot all be pinned on Gulf powers, particularly given that their aid and investment for years has been a lifeline for many Somalis. Nor are Somali elites, long adept at navigating foreign clientelism, helpless victims. Moreover, many foreign powers - in the region and beyond - have long played favourites and aggravated factionalism in Somalia. That said, almost a year after the Gulf crisis, the enmities that have riven the GCC have brought fresh complexity to Somali instability. They illustrate, too, the increasing jockeying for influence among Arab and other powers around the Red Sea and in the Horn of Africa. The extension of the Middle East's fault lines into the region have unsettled already fraught relations among Horn states and led their leaders to recalibrate their policies toward neighbours and outside powers alike. Of all those states, it is Somalia - already arguably the weakest - whose internal politics have been most fiercely buffeted, with rivalries among Gulf states and Turkey and the unravelling of relations between the Farmajo government and Abu Dhabi intensifying disputes among factions in Mogadishu, between the Somali government and federal states, and between it and Somaliland. Even without Gulf meddling, efforts to reconcile clans and overcome centre-periphery tensions - a prerequisite for peace in Somalia - face an uphill battle. But if the country becomes a battle-ground for richer, more powerful states, and they and Somali factions pursue a form of zero-sum competition ill-suited to the country's factious and multipolar politics, the bloodshed and discord that have long blighted Somalia risk taking an even darker turn. All involved need to reverse course before that happens. Ideally, the Gulf powers would end the spat within the GCC that serves all their interests ill. But absent that, they should not let their rivalries destabilise weaker states Notes "5 June 2018." Bibliography Includes bibliographical references Notes Online resource; title from PDF title page (ICG, viewed October 16, 2018)) Subject Gulf Cooperation Council -- 2017 SUBJECT Gulf Cooperation Council. fast (OCoLC)fst00578318 Subject Security, International -- United Arab Emirates Diplomatic relations. Politics and government. Security, International. SUBJECT Somalia -- Politics and government. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85124770 United Arab Emirates -- Foreign relations -- Somalia Somalia -- Foreign relations -- United Arab Emirates Somalia -- Foreign relations. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85124766 Turkey -- Foreign relations -- United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates -- Foreign relations -- Turkey Subject Somalia. Turkey. United Arab Emirates. Form Electronic book Author International Crisis Group, issuing body.

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