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Book Cover
E-book
Author Pherson, Randolph H., author.

Title Clear thinking : structured analytic techniques and strategic foresight analysis for decisionmakers / Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, Oliver Gnad
Published Cham, Switzerland : Springer, [2024]
©2024

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Description 1 online resource (xix, 243 pages) : illustrations (some color), maps (some color)
Series Professional practice in governance and public organizations
Professional practice in governance and public organizations
Contents Chapter 1. Setting the Stage -- Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2 -- Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic -- Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin! -- Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm -- Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic? -- Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product -- Chapter 8. Outlook
Summary "This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display." -- Provided by publisher
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 241-243)
Notes Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (SpringerLink, viewed March 14, 2024)
Subject Thought and thinking.
Logic.
Decision making -- Psychological aspects
thinking.
Form Electronic book
Author Donner, Ole, author
Gnad, Oliver, author.
ISBN 9783031487668
3031487664