| Description |
1 online resource (x, 79 pages) : color illustrations, color maps, color photographs |
| Series |
Strategy paper / Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security ; No. 10 |
|
Strategy paper (Atlantic Council of the United States) ; No. 10
|
| Contents |
Executive Summary: Key Findings -- Europe's Greatest Challenges -- Europe in Crisis -- Part I: Megatrends and Uncertainties: 1. Demography: A Rapidly Aging Europe -- 2. Economy : A Lagging Economy and Shrinking Global Share -- 3. Security: A Continent in Turmoil -- Part II: Major Uncertainties: Key Domestic Uncertainties: 1. Will Europe undertake economic reform? -- 2. Will the EU succeed in controlling its external border, and in integrating existing refugees and migrants? -- 3. What will be the shape of the UK's future engagement with Europe? -- 4. Will extremists on the right or left gain power in Europe? -- Key External Variables: 1. Will the United States continue to engage with Europe, or will it become more insular or focused on Asia? -- 2. Will the Balkans continue on a Euro-Atlantic path, or fall again into instability, and even conflict? -- 3. What will be Turkey's future path? -- 4. Will Russia continue to be an aggressive factor in the region, or will Europe find a path to constructive engagement? -- Part III: Will Europe Hold Together? -- Part IV: The Scenarios -- Conclusion -- Endnotes -- About the Authors -- Europe in 2022: Alternative Futures: European Voices |
| Summary |
"Sixty years after the signing of the Treaty of Rome, Europe faces its greatest challenges, and possibly its sharpest turning point, since World War II. The spectrum of possible futures for Europe is wide, encompassing everything from rebirth to disintegration. But, a strong leap toward greater EU-wide integration--as was sometimes the outcome of earlier crises--seems unlikely at best. Instead, this seems a time for smaller steps toward more integration, most likely in response to specific challenges, including: stronger external border controls; enhanced eurozone governance; or a more capable Common Security and Defense Policy. If the positive option is modest integration, the alternative future is one dominated by a clear break with past integration. A presidential victory in May by France's Marine Le Pen could splinter the European Union, sending it into a tailspin toward disintegration. Even if this dire forecast is avoided, Europe--and especially the European Union (EU)--will face challenges that push it into entirely new directions. If the United States withdraws from Europe, for example, will Europe be forced to accommodate Russian demands? Or will that challenge foster stronger security cooperation among a core set of nations, to counterbalance a weakening NATO? And if Europe's economy continues on a slow-growth path, will it be able to afford to respond to the challenges it faces?"--Publisher's description |
| Notes |
"March 29, 2017"--Table of contents page |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references (pages 65-71) |
| Notes |
Online resource; title from PDF title page (Atlantic Council, viewed April 4, 2017) |
| Subject |
Security, International -- European Union countries
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Economic history.
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Economic policy.
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International economic integration.
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Military policy.
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Military readiness.
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Politics and government.
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Security, International.
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Social conditions.
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| SUBJECT |
European Union countries -- Economic integration -- 21st century
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European Union countries -- Economic policy -- 21st century
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European Union countries -- Military policy
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European Union countries -- Defenses
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European Union countries -- Economic conditions -- 21st century
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European Union countries -- Social conditions -- 21st century
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European Union countries -- Politics and government -- 21st century
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| Subject |
European Union countries.
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| Form |
Electronic book
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| Author |
Burwell, Frances G. (Frances Gale), author.
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Atlantic Council of the United States. Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, publisher, issuing body.
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| ISBN |
9781619774384 |
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1619774380 |
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