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Title International migration and the future of populations and labour force resources in Europe / edited by Marek Kupiszewski
Published Dordrecht ; London : Springer, 2013

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Description 1 online resource
Series The Springer series on demographic methods and population analysis ; 32
Springer series on demographic methods and population analysis ; 32.
Contents INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION -- POLICIES, THEORIES, TRENDS AND ASSUMPTIONS. Migration Policy from the European Perspective: A Primer for Forecasters / Anna Kicinger -- The Use of International Migration Theories in Migration Forecasting--A Practical Approach / Marek Kupiszewski, Jakub Bijak, Anna Kicinger -- International Migration Trends in Europe Prior to 2002 / Jakub Bijak, Marek Kupiszewski -- International Migration Scenarios for 27 European Countries, 2002-2052 / Jakub Bijak, Anna Kicinger, Marek Kupiszewski -- PAST AND FUTURE OF FERTILITY AND MORTALITY IN EUROPE. Fertility Scenarios for 27 European Countries, 2002-2052 / Jakub Bijak -- Mortality Scenarios for 27 European Countries, 2002-2052 / Jakub Bijak -- HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT AND ASSUMPTIONS ON LABOUR FORCE PARTICIPATION IN EUROPE. Models and Factors of Labour Force Participation--Theoretical and Empirical Considerations / Katarzyna Saczuk -- Historical Trends in Labour Force Participation in Europe, 1985-2002 / Katarzyna Saczuk -- Labour Force Participation Scenarios for 27 European Countries, 2002-2052 / Katarzyna Saczuk -- FURURES OF EUROPEAN POPULATIONS AND LABOUR FORCE -- Population and Labour Force Dynamics Model / Dorota Kupiszewska, Marek Kupiszewski -- The Future of European Populations and the European Labour Force, 2002-2052 / Jakub Bijak, Dorota Kupiszewska, Marek Kupiszewski, Katarzyna Saczuk -- BEYOND OF REPLACEMENT MIGRATION: RESULTS OF POPULATION AND LABOUR FORCE SIMULATIONS. Development and Critique of the Concept of Replacement Migration / Katarzyna Saczuk -- Population Ageing, Population Decline and Replacement Migration in Europe / Jakub Bijak, Dorota Kupiszewska, Marek Kupiszewski, Katarzyna Saczuk -- CRITICAL ASSESSMENT OF THE RESULTS AND POLICY IMPACT. Critical Assessment of Labour Force Evolution in Europe / Elżbieta Kryńska -- Demography Rules in Pension Systems / Marek Góra -- Recommendations for European Social and Population Policies / Jakub Bijak
Summary The changes of populations are determined by fertility, mortality and migration. On the national level, international migration is a factor of increasing demographic, economic, social and political importance. This book addresses the debate on the impact of international migration and economic activity on population and labour force resources in future. It presents a study conducted for 27 European countries, looking 50 years ahead (2002-2052). An extended discussion of theories and factors underlying the assumed evolution of the components of change and economic activity is included as well as a detailed analysis of the historical trends. These theoretical and empirical considerations lead to defining scenarios of future mortality, fertility, economic activity and international migration, which have been fed into a projection model, producing various future population dynamics and labour force trajectories. In addition, simulations have been made to estimate the size of replacement migration needed to maintain selected demographic and labour market parameters in the countries of Europe. The results presented in this book allow researchers, governments and policy makers to evaluate to what extent various migration and labour market policies may be instrumental in achieving the desired population and labour size and structures. The secondary purpose of this volume is to reveal the methodology and argumentation lying behind a complex population forecasting and simulation exercise, which is not done frequently, but is critical for the assessment of the forecasts and also valuable from a purely didactic point of view
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references and index
Notes Print version record
Subject Employment forecasting -- Europe
SOCIAL SCIENCE -- Emigration & Immigration.
Migration internationale.
Prévisions de population.
Besoins de main-d'oeuvre.
Marché du travail.
Politique migratoire.
Politique du travail.
Politique démographique.
Modèles démographiques.
UE/CE Etats membres.
Emigration and immigration -- Forecasting
Employment forecasting
Population forecasting
SUBJECT Europe -- Emigration and immigration -- Forecasting
Europe -- Population -- Forecasting
Subject Europe
Form Electronic book
Author Kupiszewski, Marek.
ISBN 9789048189489
9048189489