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Author Katz, Gabriel, 1948- author

Title Agéperiod́cohort models for electoral survey data : an application to British general elections, 1964́2010 / Gabriel Katz
Published London : SAGE Publications Ltd, 2019
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Description 1 online resource
Series SAGE Research Methods. Cases
SAGE Research Methods. Cases
Summary This case study underscores the importance of using agéperiod́cohort models to disentangle life cycle, generational, and election-specific effects when examining the determinants of long-term political change. I illustrate how these models can be used to study the impact on turnout of the decline in the competitiveness of British elections over the last 50℗years, while controlling for other factors that may mask the relationship of interest. A key issue with agéperiod́cohort models is that standard statistical techniques and software packages are unable to handle relatively large data sets such as the one used in this study, with roughly 40,000 observations from 13 U.K. general elections. During the course of the project, I also had to make hard methodological choices to tackle some of the common challenges that arise when working with electoral surveys, such as turnout over-reporting, high proportion of missing values, and the difficulties in operationalizing relevant́dependent and independent́variables. A fundamental lesson from this case study is that careful consideration of alternative measurement strategies and estimation methods is crucial for the application of agéperiod́cohort models to repeated cross-sectional electoral surveys, as decisions in these areas can radically affect the substantive conclusions drawn from the data. At a more practical level, the study highlights that researchers may not always be able to rely on canned estimation routines to fit their models. Being able to tailor the estimation approach to the data at hand may thus be critical for the project́s success
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references and index
Notes Description based on XML content
Subject Cohort analysis.
Elections -- Great Britain.
Public opinion polls -- Great Britain.
Social surveys.
Form Electronic book
ISBN 1526465817
9781526465818 (ebook)