Description |
1 online resource (iii, 36 pages) : color map (digital, PDF file) |
Series |
Crisis Group Middle East/North Africa report ; no. 107 |
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Popular protest in North Africa and the Middle East ; V |
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Crisis Group Middle East/North Africa report ; no. 107
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Popular protest in North Africa and the Middle East ; v
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Contents |
Executive summary. -- Introduction: the uprising -- The nature of Qaddafi's regime. -- A reformed character? Libya's rehabilitation and the regime's new discourse. -- The issue of the East. -- Opposition currents. -- The new revolutionaries. -- Conclusion: the imperative of a ceasefire and political negotiations. -- Appendices |
Notes |
6 June 2011 |
Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references |
Notes |
The character of the Libyan crisis today arises from the complex but so far evidently indecisive impact of the UN-authorized military intervention, now formally led by NATO, in what had already become a civil war. NATO's intervention saved the anti-Qaddafi side from immediate defeat but has not yet resolved the conflict in its favor. Although the declared rationale of this intervention was to protect civilians, civilians are figuring in large numbers as victims of the war, both as casualties and refugees, while the leading Western governments supporting NATO's campaign make no secret of the fact that their goal is regime change. The country is de facto being partitioned, as divisions between the predominantly opposition-held east and the predominantly regime-controlled west harden into distinct political, social and economic spheres. As a result, it is virtually impossible for the pro-democracy current of urban public opinion in most of western Libya (and Tripoli in particular) to express itself and weigh in the political balance. The conflict in Libya remains unresolved. It is inaccurate to describe the position as a stalemate; some movement is possible for both sides. But, as things stand there is no reason, short of a significant escalation in NATO operations, to expect victory for either side in the near term, and a protracted war is a strong possibility, as the recent extension of NATO's mission for another 90 days makes clear |
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Title from cover screen (viewed on June 11, 2011) |
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Mode of access: World Wide Web |
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System requirements: Adobe Reader |
Subject |
Insurgency -- Libya
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Protest movements -- Libya
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Insurgency.
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Politics and government
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Protest movements.
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SUBJECT |
Libya -- Politics and government -- 1969-2011. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85076752
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Subject |
Libya.
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Form |
Electronic book
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Author |
International Crisis Group.
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