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Book Cover
E-book
Author Zoli, Edda, author.

Title Commodity price volatility, cyclical fluctuations, and convergence : what is ahead for inflation in emerging Europe? / prepared by Edda Zoli
Published [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2009

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Description 1 online resource (1 electronic resource (19 pages)) : color illustrations
Series IMF working paper, 2227-8885 ; WP/09/41
IMF working paper ; WP/09/41.
Contents I. Introduction; Figures; 1. Headline Inflation; II. VAR analysis; 2. Variance Decomposition of Headline Inflation; Tables; 1: Response of Domestic Energy Inflation to International Oil Price Inflation Shocks; 2. Response of Domestic Food Inflation to International Food Price Inflation Shocks; III. Panel Estimation; 3. Response of Core Inflation to Shocks to Domestic Food and Energy Price Inflation; 4. Panel Regression Results; IV. Conclusion: What is Ahead for Inflation in Emerging Europe?; Appendixes; 1. Variable Definition and Data Sources; 2. Other Panel Results; References
Summary This paper assesses the role of international commodity prices, cyclical fluctuations, and convergence in driving inflation in 18 European emerging economies. Country specific VARs and panel estimates indicate that international commodity price shocks have a significant impact on domestic inflation, but the inflation response is asymmetric for positive and negative shocks. Cyclical fluctuations explain a relative small share of inflation variability, and the inflation response is asymmetric during upturns and downturns. Price convergence is estimated to add nearly 3 percentage points to headline inflation, for the average country whose price level is about 50 percent relative to the EU-15 average
Notes At head of title: European Department
"March 2009."
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 18-19)
Notes Print version record
Subject Primary commodities -- Prices -- Europe
Inflation (Finance) -- Europe
Inflation (Finance)
Primary commodities -- Prices
Europe
Form Electronic book
Author International Monetary Fund. European Department
ISBN 1451916248
9781451916249