Title Presidential succession scenarios in Egypt and their impact on U.S.-Egyptian strategic relations / Gregory Aftandilian

Published Carlisle, PA : Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, [2011]

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Description 1 online resource (x, 48 pages) Series External Research Associates Program monographs Contents Summary -- Introduction -- The power structure in Egypt -- Constitutional rules, changes and procedures -- Succession scenarios through legal mechanisms -- Extra-legal scenario successions -- How would these scenarios impact U.S.-Egyptian relations? -- Legal succession scenarios -- Extra-legal scenarios -- Policy recommendations. How should U.S. officials conduct themselves in these scenarios? Summary Although this monograph was written before the pro-democracy demonstrations in Egypt in January 2011, it examines the important question as to who might succeed President Hosni Mubarak by analyzing several possible scenarios and what they would mean for U.S. strategic relations with Egypt. The monograph first describes the importance of Egypt in the Middle East region and gives an overview of the U.S.-Egyptian strategic relationship. It then examines the power structure in Egypt to include the presidency, the military, and the ruling party. The monograph next explores various succession scenarios. Although some of the scenarios outlined in this monograph are no longer viable--for example, President Mubarak is now on trial for complicity in the deaths of protesters during the uprising that resulted in his ouster from power--other scenarios remain plausible, particularly given what we see as the more prominent role of the Egyptian military in this fluid political situation. In addition, some of the possible presidential successors that the author mentions have now risen to higher positions in the Egyptian government. The author also discusses the sensitive issue of the Muslim Brotherhood, Egypt's most organized opposition group that is opposed to many U.S. policies. He examines a scenario of a Muslim Brotherhood-dominated government, but notes that this is unlikely to occur unless both the Brotherhood and the Egyptian military split apart Introduction -- The power structure in Egypt -- Constitutional rules, changes and procedures -- Succession scenarios through legal mechanisms -- Extra-legal scenario successions -- How would these scenarios impact U.S.-Egyptian relations? -- Legal succession scenarios -- Extra-legal scenarios -- Policy recommendations. How should U.S. officials conduct themselves in these scenarios? Notes Title from PDF title page (viewed on Oct. 11, 2011) "September 2011." "External Research Associates Program monograph." Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 43-48) Notes Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002. http://purl.oclc.org/DLF/benchrepro0212 MiAaHDL digitized 2011 HathiTrust Digital Library committed to preserve pda MiAaHDL Subject Mubārak, Muḥammad Ḥusnī, 1928-2020 SUBJECT Mubārak, Muḥammad Ḥusnī, 1928-2020 fast (OCoLC)fst00125828 Subject Elections -- Egypt Political campaigns -- Egypt Political parties -- Egypt National security -- United States. Diplomatic relations. Elections. National security. Political campaigns. Political parties. Politics and government Außenpolitik Nachfolge Präsident SUBJECT Egypt -- Politics and government. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85041317 United States -- Foreign relations -- Egypt Egypt -- Foreign relations -- United States Subject Egypt. United States. USA Ägypten Form Electronic book Author Army War College (U.S.). Strategic Studies Institute. ISBN 1584875062 9781584875062

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