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E-book
Author Gray, Colin S., author.

Title Thucydides was right : defining the future threat / Colin S. Gray
Published Carlisle Barracks, PA : Strategic Studies Institute and U.S. Army War College Press, 2015

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Description 1 online resource (ix, 60 pages)
Series Advancing strategic thought series
Advancing strategic thought series.
Contents What is the problem? -- Context -- Spectrum of concern -- Conclusions and recommendations
Summary "To define future threat is, in a sense, an impossible task, yet it is one that must be done. The only sources of empirical evidence accessible are the past and the present; one cannot obtain understanding about the future from the future. The author draws upon the understanding of strategic history obtainable from Thucydides' great History of the Peloponnesian War. He advises prudence as the operating light for American definition of future threat, and believes that there are historical parallels between the time of Thucydides and our own that can help us avoid much peril. The future must always be unpredictable to us in any detail, but the many and potent continuities in history's great stream of time can serve to alert us to what may well happen in kind--Publisher's web site
Notes "April 2015."
Paper version available for sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Publishing Office
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 51-60)
Notes Online resource; title from PDF title page (SSI, viewed April 8, 2015)
Subject Thucydides. History of the Peloponnesian War.
SUBJECT History of the Peloponnesian War (Thucydides) fast
Subject Security, International -- Forecasting
International relations -- Forecasting.
Forecasting.
Uncertainty.
Military planning -- United States
National security -- United States -- Planning
Forecasting
Armed Forces -- Planning
Forecasting
International relations -- Forecasting
Military planning
Military readiness -- Planning
National security -- Planning
Security, International -- Forecasting
Uncertainty
SUBJECT United States -- Defenses -- Planning
United States -- Armed Forces -- Planning
Subject United States
Genre/Form Electronic government information.
Form Electronic book
Author Army War College (U.S.). Strategic Studies Institute, publisher.
Army War College (U.S.). Press, publisher.
Other Titles Defining the future threat