Introduction : the enduring strategic importance of the Persian Gulf -- 1. Local and transnational threats to internal stability -- 2. Interstate conflict and future gulf security -- 3. The United States' planned contribution to regional stability -- 4. Reassessing self-defense capabilities in the GCC states -- 5. Deterrence and defense in the coming decade -- 6. Threat reduction in the Gulf in the coming decade -- App. A. Foreign military financing (FMF) provided to the GCC, 1990-2006 -- App. B. International military and education training (IMET) provided to the GCC, 1990-2006 -- App. C. Nonproliferation, antiterrorism, demining, and related programs (NADR) provided to the GCC, 2000-2006 -- App. D. Antiterrorism assistance (ATA) provided to the GCC, 1991-2004 -- App. E. Gulf defense expenditures, 1989-2003 -- App. F. GCC succession issues -- App. G. Political reform in the Gulf