Estimating impact : a handbook of computational methods and models for anticipating economic, social, political and security effects in international interventions / by Alexander Kott, Gary Citrenbaum
Estimating Impact; Acknowledgments; Contents; About the Authors; Contributors; Chapter 1: Introduction: Judgment and Computation; Chapter 2: Emerging Techniques and Tools; Chapter 3: Politics and Power; Chapter 4: Economics and Markets; Chapter 5: Media and Influence; Chapter 6: Governance and Society; Chapter 7: Groups and Violence; Chapter 8: Insurgency and Security; Chapter 9: Crime and Corruption; Chapter 10: Visualization and Comprehension; Chapter 11: Verification and Validation; Chapter 12: Conclusions: Anticipation and Action; Abbreviations and Acronyms; Index
Summary
Virtually all human endeavors can be analyzed and modeled and understood through computer-aided study, and that is very much at the core of operations research, game theory, and decision science. Understanding the potential impact of any action is critical to the success of that action, and in ESTIMATING IMPACT Alexander Kott and Gary Citrenbaum, with a stellar group of contributors, demonstrate how military or humanitarian interventions (or the decision not to intervene) can be rigorously analyzed beforehand and their likely impacts and ramifications predicted at levels appropriate to their s