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Book Cover
E-book
Author Lebow, Richard Ned

Title Forbidden fruit : counterfactuals and international relations / Richard Ned Lebow
Published Princeton : Princeton University Press, ©2010

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Description 1 online resource (x, 335 pages)
Contents Making sense of the world -- Counterfactual thought experiments -- Franz Ferdinand found alive: World War I unnecessary -- Leadership and the end of the Cold War: did it have to end this way? / coauthored with George W. Breslauer -- Scholars and causation 1 / coauthored with Philip E. Tetlock -- Scholars and causation 2. Experiment 4, instrument 1: unmaking American tragedies -- If Mozart had died at your age: psycho-logic versus statistical inference -- Heil to the chief: Sinclair Lewis, Philip Roth, and fascism
Summary Could World War I have been averted if Franz Ferdinand and his wife hadn't been murdered by Serbian nationalists in 1914? What if Ronald Reagan had been killed by Hinckley's bullet? Would the Cold War have ended as it did? In Forbidden Fruit, Richard Ned Lebow develops protocols for conducting robust counterfactual thought experiments and uses them to probe the causes and contingency of transformative international developments like World War I and the end of the Cold War. He uses experiments, surveys, and a short story to explore why policymakers, historians, and international relations schol
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references and index
Notes Print version record
Subject International relations -- Research
World politics -- Research
Cold War.
Imaginary histories.
Counterfactuals (Logic)
POLITICAL SCIENCE -- History & Theory.
Counterfactuals (Logic)
Imaginary histories
International relations -- Research
World politics -- Research
Weltpolitik
Alternativgeschichte
Form Electronic book
LC no. 2009018726
ISBN 9781400835126
1400835127