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Book Cover
Author Hannon, Bruce M.

Title Dynamic modeling of diseases and pests / Bruce Hannon, Matthias Ruth
Published New York : Springer Verlag, ©2009


Description 1 online resource (viii, 290 pages) : illustrations
Series Modeling dynamic systems
Modeling dynamic systems.
Contents Part I: Introduction. The why and how of dynamic modeling ; Basic epidemic models ; Insect dynamics -- Part II: Applications. Malaria and sickle cell anemia ; Encephalitis ; Chagas disease ; Lyme disease ; Chicken pox and shingles ; Toxoplasmosis ; The zebra mussel ; Biological control of pestilence ; Indirect susceptible-infected-resistant models of arboviral encephalitis transmission ; Chaos and pestilence ; Catastrophe and pestilence ; Spatial pestilence dynamics -- Part III: Conclusions. Conclusion
Summary Models help us understand the nonlinear dynamics of real-world processes by using the computer to mimic the actual forces that result in a system's behavior. The growing complexity of human social systems, from individual behavior to that of entire populations makes us increasingly vulnerable to diseases and pests. The ecology of the disease agents and the pests when considered in this social context only adds to the complexity. The feedbacks, lags in the effects of our preventive actions and the randomness in the environment make understanding of these vulnerabilities seem insurmountable. The amount and pace of modern travel provides virus and pest alike with the means to quickly find new hosts in untouched human populations and the ecosystems. We thus have compelling reasons to understand the dynamics of these combined systems. This book begins with simple examples of human epidemics and then insect dynamics. Next comes the models of ever more complex models of disease carried by interaction of the two. An invasive species model is followed by insect-ecosystem interactions. The general models of chaos and catastrophe are linked to models of disease and pest. The final model is a spatial dynamic spread of disease among a wild animal population. By using the STELLA programs (runtime versions and digital forms of all models are available with the book) we show how with a minimum of mathematical preparation and programming experience, these complex processes can be simulated and their emergent properties discovered. The programs run on both Macintosh and PC based machines
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references and index
Notes Print version record
SUBJECT Stella (Computer program)
Stella. cct
Stella (Computer program) fast (OCoLC)fst01899232
Subject Insects as carriers of disease -- Mathematical models
Insects -- Diseases -- Epidemiology -- Mathematical models
Epidemics -- Mathematical models
Communicable diseases -- Epidemiology -- Mathematical models
Insects as carriers of disease.
Mathematical models.
Insect Vectors
Models, Theoretical
mathematical models.
Epidemics -- Mathematical models.
Communicable diseases -- Epidemiology -- Mathematical models.
Insects as carriers of disease -- Mathematical models.
Insects -- Diseases -- Epidemiology -- Mathematical models.
Communicable diseases -- Epidemiology -- Mathematical models.
Epidemics -- Mathematical models.
Form Electronic book
Author Ruth, Matthias.
ISBN 9780387095608