Title Explaining the evidence : how the mind investigates the world / David A. Lagnado

Published Cambridge, United Kingdom ; New York, NY : Cambridge University Press, 2022 ©2022

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Description 1 online resource (xix, 306 pages) : illustrations Contents The Cliff Death The Cliff Death The Cliff Death -- Models in Mind Models in Mind Models in Mind -- Causal Modelling Causal Modelling Causal Modelling -- Thinking Beyond Biases Thinking Beyond Biases Thinking Beyond Biases -- Expert Reasoning in Crime Investigation Expert Reasoning in Crime Investigation Expert Reasoning in Crime Investigation -- Questions of Evidence Questions of Evidence Questions of Evidence -- Competing Causes Competing Causes Competing Causes -- Confirmation Bias: Good, Bad and Ugly Confirmation Bias: Good, Bad and Ugly Confirmation Bias: Good, Bad and Ugly -- Telling Stories Telling Stories Telling Stories -- Idioms for Legal Reasoning Idioms for Legal Reasoning Idioms for Legal Reasoning -- Causal Reasoning in a Time of Crisis Causal Reasoning in a Time of Crisis Causal Reasoning in a Time of Crisis Summary "How do we make sense of complex evidence? What are the cognitive principles that allow detectives to solve crimes and lay people to puzzle out everyday problems? To address these questions, David Lagnado presents a novel perspective on human reasoning. At heart, we are causal thinkers driven to explain the myriad ways in which people behave and interact. We build mental models of the world, enabling us to infer patterns of cause and effect, linking words to deeds, actions to effects, and crimes to evidence. But building models is not enough; we need to evaluate these models against evidence, and we often struggle with this task. We have a knack for explaining, but less skill at evaluating. Fortunately, we can improve our reasoning by reflecting on inferential practices and using formal tools. This book presents a system of rational inference that helps us evaluate our models and make sounder judgments"-- Provided by publisher Bibliography Includes bibliographical references and index Notes Description based on online resource; title from digital title page (viewed on October 29, 2021) Subject Evidence -- Psychological aspects Reasoning (Psychology) Judgment. Cognition. Judgment Cognition cognition. PSYCHOLOGY / Cognitive Psychology & Cognition. Cognition Judgment Reasoning (Psychology) Form Electronic book LC no. 2021019469 ISBN 9780511794520 0511794525

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