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Author Stefansson, Ragnar

Title Advances in earthquake prediction : seismic research and risk mitigation / by Ragnar Stefansson
Published Berlin ; London : Springer, 2011

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Description 1 online resource
Series Springer-Praxis books in geophysical sciences
Springer-Praxis books in geophysical sciences.
Contents Advances in Earthquake Prediction; Contents; Preface; IS IT REALLY POSSIBLE TO PREDICT EARTHQUAKES?; ADVANCES GAINED BY USING THE PHYSICAL APPROACH; OTHER GAINS BY USING THE PHYSICAL APPROACH; Roadmap and acknowledgments; Figures; Abbreviations and acronyms; About the author; 1 Introduction: Background to the work; 1.1 THE DREAM TO BE REALIZED; 1.2 OPTIMISM AND PESSIMISM; 1.2.1 The Chinese success in 1975; 1.2.2 Optimism and a setback; 1.2.3 Chinese seismologists were alert to the possibility of a Tangshan earthquake early in 1976; 1.2.4 Predictions that fail to occur
1.3 EARTHQUAKE HAZARD ASSESSMENT1.4 PREDICTIONS ''NOT IN THE MODE''; 1.5 NEW MULTINATIONAL PREDICTION RESEARCH PROJECT IN ICELAND, STARTED 1988; 1.A APPENDIX; 1.A.1 Time-dependent hazard assessment; 2 A new approach to earthquake prediction; 2.1 ICELAND AS A NATURAL LABORATORY; 2.2 STATISTICS ON PHENOMENA PRECEDING EARTHQUAKES; 2.3 THE PHYSICAL APPROACH TAKEN BY THE SIL PROJECT; 2.4 THE HUMAN DRIVE TOWARD EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION; 2.5 DESIGNING A NEW TYPE OF SEISMIC SYSTEM; 2.5.1 Realization of the SIL system; 2.6 FROM TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT TO RESEARCH AND WARNINGS
2.6.1 Overview of research projects2.6.2 The 2000 earthquakes represented a test for our efforts; 2.6.3 Significance of the results for other earthquake areas; 2.A APPENDIX: EARTHQUAKE FAULTS AND MICRO-EARTHQUAKE TECHNOLOGY FOR THEIR STUDY; 2.A.1 About the main fault types; 2.A.2 Micro-earthquake mechanisms; 2.A.3 Absolute and relative locations of similar events; 2.B APPENDIX: PARTICIPANTS IN THE RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT THAT FORMED THE BASIS OF THIS BOOK; 2.B.1 Icelandic Meteorological Office; 2.B.2 Staff at IMO who directly or indirectly contributed to the book (in alphabetical order)
2.B.3 Scientists from other institutions who contributed significantly2.C APPENDIX: RESEARCH PROJECTS IN THE FIELD OF EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION; 3 The test area The South Iceland Seismic Zone (SISZ), tectonics, and measurements; 3.1 THE TECTONIC FRAMEWORK; 3.2 THE CRUSTAL STRUCTURE OF THE SOUTH ICELAND SEISMIC ZONE (SISZ); 3.2.1 The detailed seismic velocity structure in the SISZ; 3.2.2 The brittle-ductile boundary; 3.2.3 High pore fluid pressures near the top of the ductile layer; 3.3 GEOLOGICAL MAPPING AND MODELING OF EARTHQUAKE FAULTS IN THE SISZ
3.4 THE AVAILABLE TECHNOLOGY TO OBSERVE CRUSTAL PROCESSES3.4.1 Evolution of the SIL system; 3.4.2 How the SIL system works; 3.5 OLDER METHODS OF SEISMIC OBSERVATION; 3.6 STUDYING HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKES AND THEREBY EXTEND EARTHQUAKE HISTORY; 3.7 OBSERVATIONS OF DEFORMATION; 3.7.1 Volumetric borehole strainmeters; 3.7.2 Repeated and continuous GPS measurements; 3.8 OBSERVATIONS OF GROUNDWATER; 3.8.1 Observations of groundwater level changes in boreholes; 3.8.2 Observations of geochemical changes in well water; 3.8.3 Building the infrastructure to predict geohazards
Summary The special natural conditions in Iceland as well as high level technology, were the basis for multidisciplinary and multinational cooperation for studying crustal processes, especially processes ahead of large earthquakes. This work leads to new innovative results and real time warnings which are described in¡the book. The results obtained in Iceland are of significance for earthquake prediction research worldwide
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references and index
Notes English
Print version record
Subject Earthquake prediction.
Earthquake prediction -- Research -- Iceland
Environnement.
Climat.
Earthquake prediction
Earthquake prediction -- Research
Iceland
Form Electronic book
ISBN 9783540475712
3540475710
9783540475699
3540475699