| Description |
1 online resource (xi, 208 pages) : illustrations |
| Contents |
Introduction. Factors driving and not driving the third wave ; Institutions under authoritarianism ; Theoretical implications ; Policy implications ; Plan of the book -- Explaining democratization. The structural approach ; The strategic approach ; The social forces tradition ; the economic approach ; The present approach : theoretical eclecticism, methods combined -- The shadow of the past : social determinants. The literature on domestic social determinants ; Empirical results ; Islam and democracy ; Why are small countries more likely to democratize? ; Conclusion -- The power of prosperity : economic determinants. Modernization, performance and resource abundance ; Economic inequality and freedom ; Socioeconomic modernization and democratic recalcitrance ; Economic crises and authoritarian vulnerability ; Conclusion -- The impetus from abroad : international determinants. The literature on international determinants ; Empirical results ; Trade dependency and stalled democratization ; What explains neighbor diffusion? ; Do regional organizations foster democratization? ; Conclusion -- The force from below : popular mobilization. The literature and empirical results ; Why are peaceful demonstrations conducive to democratization? ; Conclusion -- Exogenous shocks and authoritarian regime types : institutional contingency. Types of authoritarian regimes and democratization ; Estimation strategy ; Empirical results ; Conclusion -- Conclusions. Summary of findings ; Explanatory performance ; Towards an integrated theory of democratization? ; Lessons for the future study of democratization ; Lessons for democracy promotion ; Lessons for the future of democratization -- Appendix. Data and variable definitions ; Statistical model ; Robustness tests ; The pathway criterion |
| Summary |
A new explanation of the wave of democratization that has swept the world over the last few decades |
|
"What are the determinants of democratization? Do the factors that move countries toward democracy also help them refrain from backsliding toward autocracy? This book attempts to answer these questions through a combination of a statistical analysis of social, economic, and international determinants of regime change in 165 countries around the world in 1972-2006, and case study work on nine episodes of democratization occurring in Argentina, Bolivia, Hungary, Nepal, Peru, the Philippines, South Africa, Turkey, and Uruguay. The findings suggest that democracy is promoted by long-term structural forces such as economic prosperity, but also by peaceful popular uprisings and the institutional setup of authoritarian regimes. In the short-run, however, elite actors may play a key role, particularly through the importance of intra-regime splits. Jan Teorell argues that these results have important repercussions both for current theories of democratization and for the international community's effort in developing policies for democracy promotion"--Provided by publisher |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Notes |
Print version record |
| Subject |
Regime change -- History -- 20th century
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Regime change -- History -- 21st century
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Democratization -- History -- 20th century
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Democratization -- History -- 21st century
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Regime change -- Case studies
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Democratization -- Case studies
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POLITICAL SCIENCE -- Political Ideologies -- Democracy.
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Democratization
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Regime change
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| Genre/Form |
Case studies
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History
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| Form |
Electronic book
|
| ISBN |
9780511916861 |
|
0511916868 |
|
9780511918827 |
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0511918828 |
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9780511915055 |
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0511915055 |
|
9780511762727 |
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0511762720 |
|
0511913265 |
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9780511913266 |
|
