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Author MacFarlan, Maitland.

Title The macroeconomic impact of HIV/AIDS in Botswana / Maitland MacFarlan and Silvia Sgherri
Published [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, Research Dept. and African Dept., [2001]
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Description 1 online resource (42 pages) : illustrations
Series IMF working paper ; WP/01/80
IMF working paper ; WP/01/80
Summary This paper provides an overview of the potential macroeconomic effects of HIV/AIDS in Botswana, focusing on the key channels through which the pandemic is likely to affect the economic outlook and on the uncertainties involved. To estimate the impact of HIV/AIDS, a dual-economy equilibrium model is constructed and simulated under different scenarios. Depending on exactly how AIDS affects the outlook, GDP growth is projected to fall from around 5 1/2 percent a year without the pandemic to between 1 1/2 and 2 1/2 percent a year with AIDS. Non-negligible redistribution effects across sectors and labor skill categories are also likely to arise. Finally, the paper draws attention to the potential effects of HIV/AIDS on the long-term fiscal position of Botswana, highlighting the need for increased international support and/or lower drug prices so that the widespread introduction of anti-retroviral drug treatments is feasible
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 41-42)
Notes Print version record
Subject AIDS (Disease) -- Economic aspects -- Botswana -- Econometric models.
HIV infections -- Economic aspects -- Botswana -- Econometric models.
Form Electronic book
Author Sgherri, Silvia.
International Monetary Fund. African Department.
International Monetary Fund. Research Department.
ISBN 1281387061