| Description |
ix, 278 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm |
| Series |
International series in operations research & management science ; 95 |
|
International series in operations research & management science ; 95
|
| Contents |
Machine derived contents note: CHAPTER 1 -- THE ANALYTIC NETWORK PROCESS -- 1. Introduction -- 2. The Analytic Network Process (ANP) 7 -- 3. The Supermatrix OfA Feedback System (Saaty, 2001, 2005) 9 -- 4. The Control Hierarchy And What Question To Ask 12 -- 5. The Benefits, Costs, Opportunities And Risks And Their Merit Ratings -- 13 -- 6. Priorities In The Supermatrix 14 -- 7. On The Limit Supermatrix And Its Cesaro Sum 15 -- 8. Rating 19 -- 9. Two Examples of Estimating Market Share 21 -- 10. Group Decision Making 23 -- CHAPTER2 -- FORECASTING THE RESURGENCE OF THE U.S. ECONOMY IN 2001: -- AN EXPERT JUDGMENT APPROACH -- 1. Introduction 27 -- 2. On the Role ofJudgment in Economic Forecasting 27 -- 3. The Setting: An Economic Slowdown after Years ofExpansion 28 -- 4. Application ofANP to the Macroeconomic Forecasting Problem 30 -- 5. Producing the Forecast ofthe Recovery 34 -- 6. Conclusion 35 -- CHAPTER 3 -- AN ANALYTIC NETWORK PROCESS MODEL FOR FINANCIAL-CRISIS -- FORECASTING -- 1. Introduction 45 -- 2. The ANP Financial Crisis Model Structure 46 -- 3. Building the ANP Financial Crisis Model 48 -- 4. The 1991 U.S. Banking Crisis 54 -- 5. Conclusion 60 -- CHAPTER 4 -- OUTSOURCING A FIRM'S APPLICATION DEVELOPMENT GROUP -- 1. Introduction 63 -- 2. The M odel 64 -- 3. BO CR Priorities 74 -- 4. Results 82 -- 5. Sensitivity Analysis 82 -- 6 W here to Outsource 84 -- CHAPTER 5 -- ANWR - ARTIC NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE: AN ANP VALIDATION -- EXAMPLE -- 1. Introduction 89 -- 2. BOCR Modelfor ANWR 90 -- 3. R esults 96 -- 4. Conclusion and Sensitivity Analyses , 99 -- CHAPTER 6 -- THE FORD EXPLORER CASE -- 1. Introduction 101 -- 2. Creating The M odel 101 -- 3. Benefits M odel 104 -- 4. Costs M odel 110 -- 5. Risks M odel 118 -- 6. Ratings and Synthesis 123 -- 7. Sensitivity Analysis 126 -- CHAPTER 7 -- PENNSYLVANIA HIGH-SPEED MAGLEV PROJECT -- 1. Introduction 129 -- 2. Alternatives and BOCR M odel 132 -- 3. Results 140 -- 4. Sensitivity Analysis 141 -- CHAPTER 8 -- U.S. ENERGY SECURITY -- 1. Introduction 145 -- 2. ANP M odel D escription 148 -- 3. Benefits, Opportunities, Costs and Risks Model 160 -- 4. M odel Results 165 -- 5. Sensitivity Analysis 166 -- 6. Conclusion 171 -- CHAPTER 9 -- STABILIZING SOCIAL SECURITY FOR THE LONG-TERM -- 1. Introduction 73 -- 2. Strategic Criteria 174 -- 3. Alternatives 175 -- 4. Benefits/Opportunities/Costs/Risks 176 -- 5. R esults 186 -- 6. Sensitivity Analysis 187 -- 7. Conclusion 189 -- CHAPTER 10 -- THE MOST HOPEFUL OUTCOME IN THE MIDDLE EAST CONFLICT: -- THE ANALYTIC NETWORK PROCESS APPROACH -- 1. Introduction 193 -- 2. Structure of the Decision Problem 194 -- 3. Prioritization 198 -- 4. Synthesis ofAll the BOCR M erits 202 -- 5. Sensitivity Analysis 203 -- 6. Conclusions 204 -- CHAPTER 11 -- THE CONFLICT BETWEEN CHINA AND TAIWAN -- 1. Introduction 209 -- 2. Possible Alternatives 209 -- 3. BOCR M odel 210 -- 4. Overall Synthesized Results 219 -- 5. Sensitivity A nalysis 221 -- 6. Conclusions 223 -- CHAPTER 12 -- U. S. RESPONSE TO NORTH KOREAN NUCLEAR THREAT -- 1. Introduction 225 -- 2. Alternative Courses ofAction 225 -- 3. Benefits, Opportunities, Costs and Risks 227 -- 4 R esu lts 2 4 7 -- 5. Sensitivity Analysis 248 -- 6. Conclusion 250 -- CHAPTER 13 -- CRITERIA FOR EVALUATING GROUP DECISION-MAKING METHODS -- 1. Introduction 251 -- 2. Criteria for Group Decision Making Methods 252 -- 3. Group Decision Making Methods 258 -- 4. Evaluation of the Methods on the Criteria 262 -- 5. Conclusion 270 |
| Notes |
Series no. from p. [4] of cover |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Subject |
Decision making -- Mathematical models.
|
|
Problem solving.
|
| Author |
Vargas, Luis G. (Luis Gonzalez)
|
| LC no. |
2006924673 |
| ISBN |
0387338594 |
|
