Pt. 1. Theory. 1. Introduction. 2. Theory and Hypotheses -- Pt. 2. Data and Quantitative Analysis. 3. Measuring the Variables. 4. Quantitative Tests. 5. A Closer Look at the Findings -- Pt. 3. Case Studies. 6. Negotiating for Security Guarantees: The Civil War in Zimbabwe. 7. The Breakdown of Rwanda's Peace Process. 8. Explaining the Resolution of Civil Wars