Limit search to available items
Book Cover
E-book
Author Boekel, Martin Van, author

Title Investigating hindsight bias : lessons from using a think-aloud methodology in memory based research / Martin Van Boekel, Keisha Varma, Sashank Varma
Published London : SAGE Publications Ltd, 2018
Online access available from:
Sage Research Methods Cases    View Resource Record  

Copies

Description 1 online resource : illustrations
Series SAGE Research Methods. Cases
SAGE Research Methods. Cases
Summary Individuals exhibit hindsight bias when they are unable to recall their original judgments to questions after correct answers are provided. For example, you may think that lions sleep 9 hr a day (your original judgment). Later, you learn that lions typically sleep 20 hr per day (the correct answer). If someone was to ask you to recall how many hours you used to think lions slept in a day, you are likely to engage in hindsight bias, and say that your original judgment was a value closer to the correct answer than it really was. Examples of people engaging in hindsight bias are plentiful. We see it in the business world, after political elections, in the sciences, and can be observed in very young children and throughout the lifespan. There are several theories that attempt to explain why people engage in hindsight bias, but only a few researchers have attempted to describe what is happening when people are able to avoid hindsight bias. From an applied perspective, understanding how to avoid or minimize hindsight bias can be useful in classroom instruction. From a theoretical perspective, it is important because it helps us better understand what is happening in our minds when we engage in hindsight bias. The present case study was the first to employ a think-aloud methodology when studying hindsight bias. This involved asking participants 20 trivia-style questions. After they completed other tasks, they learned the answers to half of these questions. All participants were then given a surprise memory test where they were asked to recall all of their original judgments to the 20 questions. Half of the participants recalled only their original estimates (the standard practice in a hindsight bias task), and the other half recalled both their original judgments and the correct answers (our experimental manipulation which will be described in further detail below). During their recall, all participants were asked to say what they were thinking as they were trying to remember their original judgments. The goal was to shed light on the retrieval strategies people use when engaging in a hindsight bias task, and distinguish between the strategies that lead to hindsight bias and those that allow people to avoid it. The results from this study provide insights into how to implement think-aloud studies of memory-based phenomenon while also shedding light on current theories of hindsight bias
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references and index
Notes Description based on XML content
Subject Hindsight bias (Psychology) -- Case studies.
Genre/Form Case studies.
Case studies.
Form Electronic book
Author Varma, Keisha, active 2018, author
Varma, Sashank, author
ISBN 1526447606
9781526447609 (ebook)