Description |
1 online resource (xi, 259 pages) : illustrations |
Contents |
Introduction : fresh perspectives on a developing institution / Roy Pierce -- The European Community, decision making, and integration / Jan M.M. Van den Bos -- The policy issues analyzed / Jan M.M. Van den Bos -- Political forecasting : an expected utility method / Bruce Bueno de Mesquita -- The exchange of voting positions : an object-oriented model of policy networks / Frans N. Stokman and Reinier Van Oosten -- Policy outcomes and policy interventions : an expected utility analysis / Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and A.F.K. Organski -- The exchange of voting positions in the EC council / Frans N. Stokman and Jan M.M. Van den Bos -- The politics surrounding the creation of the EC bank : the last stumbling block to integration / Jacek Kugler and John H.P. Williams -- Models of exchange and of expected utility maximization : a comparison of accuracy / Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and Frans N. Stokman -- Modeling the EC / A.F.K. Orghanski and Samuel Eldersveld |
Summary |
This pathbreaking book illuminates the politics of issue resolution within the European Community with evaluations and comparisons of competing models of decision making across twenty-two policy issues. Written by American and Dutch scholars, the book will be of great interest to students of comparative politics, public policy analysts, mathematic modelers, and all those concerned with the development of the European Community. One set of models explored in this volume - the expected utility model - treats politics as a conflictual activity, while the other, the exchange or log rolling model, emphasizes the cooperative nature of political processes. The alternative approaches model decision making in fundamentally different ways and make very different predictions about how issues in the European Community will be resolved. To facilitate direct comparison of their predictive and explanatory value, the models in this volume are based on the same variables: the potential control of actors over outcomes, the salience of the issues for the actors, and the outcomes preferred by the actors. The contributors test their models in the context of sixteen issues already resolved by the Council of Ministers and six issues currently under consideration, providing the reader with considerable knowledge about the controversies surrounding European Community policy on such topics as automobile emissions, nuclear radiation norms, air transport liberalization, and the European banking system. They conclude that the conflictual model and the cooperative model are less competitive and more complementary than has been thought, and they explain in detail how the models can be fruitfully combined |
Analysis |
Politics Decision making |
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Europe |
Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references (pages 243-247) and index |
Notes |
Print version record |
Subject |
Political planning -- European Economic Community countries
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Decision making -- European Economic Community countries
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POLITICAL SCIENCE -- General.
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Modèles.
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Prise de décision.
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UE/CE Politique.
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Decision making
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Political planning
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Besluitvorming.
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Europese Unie.
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European Economic Community countries
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Form |
Electronic book
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Author |
Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, 1946-
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Stokman, Frans N
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LC no. |
93043875 |
ISBN |
9780300158113 |
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0300158114 |
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