Title Review of Recommendations for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis : guidance on uncertainty and use of experts / Panel on Seismic Hazard Evaluation, Committee on Seismology, Board on Earth Sciences and Resources, Commission on Geosciences, Environment, and Resources, National Research Council

Published Washington, DC : National Academy Press, 1997

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Description 1 online resource (xii, 73 pages) : illustrations Contents Review of Recommendations for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis: Guidance on Uncertainty and Use of Experts -- Copyright -- Preface -- Contents -- Executive Summary -- MAIN FEATURES OF THE SSHAC REPORT -- THE SSHAC METHODOLOGY -- BACKGROUND WORKSHOPS -- THE TREATMENT OF UNCERTAINTY -- 1 Introduction -- WHAT IS SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS? -- BACKGROUND AND CONTEXT OF THIS REPORT -- INTERACTIONS OF THE PANEL WITH SSHAC -- ORGANIZATION OF THE PANEL'S REPORT -- 2 Process and Documentation for a Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis -- LEVEL OF EFFORT IN A PSHA THE MULTIPLE ROLES OF EXPERTSTECHNICAL FACILITATOR/INTEGRATOR -- The Proposed TFI Process -- TREATMENT OF EXPERT INPUT -- Integration of Expert Opinion -- Weighting -- Dependency Among Experts -- Peer Review -- Documentation -- 3 Treatment of Uncertainty -- IS THE ALEATORY/EPISTEMIC DISTINCTION UNIQUE AND CLEAR? -- IS THE EPISTEMIC/ALEATORY SEPARATION NEEDED? -- 4 Seismic Source Characterization -- SCIENTIFIC VALIDITY AND CLARITY OF PRESENTATION -- CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF PSHA -- THE OUTLOOK FOR EVOLUTION OF SSC 5 The Estimation of Earthquake-Generated Ground Motion SCIENTIFIC VALIDITY AND CLARITY OF PRESENTATION -- CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF PSHA: SUMMARY OF THE GROUND MOTION WORKSHOP RESULTS -- IMPLICATIONS FOR FUTURE GROUND MOTION ESTIMATION -- 6 Summary and Conclusions -- GENERAL APPRAISAL OF THE SSHAC REPORT -- GENERAL SHORTCOMINGS AND LIMITATIONS OF THE SSHAC REPORT -- SOME CONTRIBUTIONS OF SSHAC TO HAZARD ASSESSMENT -- The TFI Methodology -- Clear Definition of Experts' Distinct Roles as Proponents, Evaluators, and Integrators Results of SSHAC-Sponsored WorkshopsReferences -- Appendix A ACRONYMS -- Appendix B LETTER REPORT OF THE PANEL ON SEISMIC HAZARD EVALUATION, MARCH 1995 -- GENERAL COMMENTS -- CONCERNS AND PROBLEMS -- Recommendations for Improvement -- SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL CONCERNS Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 63-64) Notes Print version record Subject Earthquake hazard analysis -- United States NATURE -- Natural Disasters. SOCIAL SCIENCE -- Disasters & Disaster Relief. Earthquake hazard analysis United States Form Electronic book Author Senior Seismic Hazard Analysis Committee. Recommendations for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis ISBN 0309562074 9780309562072

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