Title Russian foreign policy in historical and current context : a reassessment / Olga Oliker, Christopher S. Chivvis, Keith Crane, Olesya Tkacheva, and Scott Boston

Published [Santa Monica, California?] : RAND Corporation, [2015] ©2015

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Description 1 online resource (31 pages) : color illustrations, color maps Series Perspective ; PE-144-A Perspective (Rand Corporation) ; PE-144-A. Contents The historical backdrop. The Russian Empire and the Soviet Union -- Russian security perspectives since independence -- The 2014 crisis -- The role of the Russian economy in Russian foreign policy. Growth through integration -- Economic ties with the neighbors -- Protectionism as a counterweight to integration -- Economics and the Ukraine crisis -- The role of elite and public opinion in Russian foreign policy. Do elites matter? -- Shaping public opinion -- Public opinion and the Ukraine crisis -- The Putin factor -- What's behind Russia's recent actions in Ukraine? Summary "This Perspective provides an overview and analysis of sources of Russian foreign policy to help explain Russia's actions in Ukraine in 2014 and 2015. It evaluates arguments based on Russian historical strategic interests, economic policy, and domestic policy to determine which explanations, alone or in combination, stand up best to Russia's actual choices and actions. The authors conclude that Russia's general attitude toward Ukraine is largely consistent with historical Russian (and Soviet) thinking about security interests and foreign policy, which have focused on buffer states, influence on its neighbors, and a perception of continued competition with the United States. However, these historical patterns alone are insufficient to fully explain Russian actions. Neither can public opinion, elite interests, or the pursuit of economic growth be defined as key drivers of Russian behavior. Moscow has sought to shape, rather than respond to, public opinion, and has done so with great success. Decisionmaking in the Kremlin has become highly centralized, obviating the possibility of elite group influence. Finally, economic growth goals have been jettisoned, rather than pursued, in this crisis. This said, the authors argue that an important component of the Kremlin's decision calculus also stems from how Russia's leaders, particularly Russian President Vladimir Putin, have interpreted the implications of the Maidan uprising in Ukraine for their own country. As a result, Putin's fear that popular opposition and unrest will threaten his power has led him to endanger many of the things he has worked to build over his tenure"--Publisher's web site Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 26-30) Notes Online resource; title from PDF caption (RAND, viewed December 23, 2015) Subject Russo-Ukrainian War, 2014- -- Causes Public opinion -- Russia (Federation) Diplomatic relations Economic policy Public opinion War -- Causes SUBJECT Russia (Federation) -- Foreign relations -- 21st century Russia (Federation) -- Foreign relations -- 20th century Russia (Federation) -- Economic policy -- 21st century Russia (Federation) -- Economic policy -- 20th century Subject Russia (Federation) Form Electronic book Author Chivvis, Christopher S., author. Crane, Keith, 1953- author. Tkacheva, Olesya, author. Boston, Scott, author Rand Corporation, publisher.

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