Title Review of CCSP draft synthesis and assessment product 5.3 : decison- support experiments and evaluations using seasonal to interannual forecasts and observational data / Panel to Review CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.3: Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data ; Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, Center for Economic, Governance and International Studies, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, National Research Council of the National Academies

Published Washington, D.C. : National Academies Press, ©2008

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Description 1 online resource (ix, 46 pages) : illustrations Contents Front matter -- CONTENTS -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY -- 1 INTRODUCTION -- 2 OVERVIEW ISSUES -- 3 RESPONSIVENESS TO PROSPECTUS QUESTIONS -- 4 SUPPORT FOR FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS -- 5 ORGANIZATION AND ACCESSIBILITY -- References -- APPENDIX A Topics for Synthesis and Assessment Products of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program -- APPENDIX B Biographical Sketches of Panel Members and Staff Summary This study offered an independent peer review for a synthetic document being produced for the CCSP. It found the draft document to be in a fairly early stage of development and noted several issues needing attention in the revision. The draft was inconsistent across sections with respect to whether or not it accepted two assumptions: that more skillful forecasts necessarily have greater value, and that the most useful form of information is a projected future value of an outcome parameter with an uncertainty distribution. Available scientific evidence gives reason to question these assumptions, and the draft did not discuss the evidence. Among other issues needing attention, the review called for the revised draft to do more to substantiate its claims of the potential benefits of knowledge-action networks and to give more careful consideration to the appropriate balance of roles between governmental and private efforts Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 40-42) Notes Print version record Subject Climatology -- Research -- United States -- Evaluation Climatic changes -- Risk assessment. Atmospheric carbon dioxide -- Environmental aspects. SCIENCE -- Earth Sciences -- Meteorology & Climatology. Atmospheric carbon dioxide -- Environmental aspects Climatic changes -- Risk assessment United States Form Electronic book Author National Research Council (U.S.). Panel to Review CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.3: Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data National Research Council (U.S.). Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change. ISBN 9780309115698 0309115698

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