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Book Cover
E-book
Author Kahn, Herman

Title On Escalation : Metaphors and Scenarios
Published Somerset : Taylor and Francis, 2009

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Description 1 online resource (337 pages)
Contents Cover; Half Title; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; Introduction to the Transaction Edition; Foreword to the Paperback Edition; Acknowledgments; Preface; I. INTRODUCTION; Escalation in Brief; The Strike and ""Chicken"" Metaphors; Sources of Control and Cooperation in International Society; The Question of Who, Whom, and Why; Some Examples of the Importance of Who, Whom, and Why; An Example of Restraint and Negotiation in Total War (World War II); A ""Standard Crisis"" Scenario; II. THE RUNGS OF THE ESCALATION LADDER; A Useful Metaphor; Description of the Rungs and Thresholds
Subcrisis ManeuveringTraditional Crises (The Boat Is Rocked); Intense Crises (The Unthinkable Nuclear War Becomes Credible); Bizarre Crises (Nuclear Weapons Are Used); Exemplary Central Attacks (Violating the Central Sanctuary -- Nuclear Gunboat Diplomacy); Military Central Wars (The New Kind of All-Out War); Civilian Central Wars (Violation of the ""No-City"" Threshold); III. DISAGREEMENTS AND SUBCRISIS MANEUVERING; Basic Description and Definition; The Rungs of Subcrisis Maneuvering; Rung 1. Ostensible Crisis; Rung 2. Political, Economic, and Diplomatic Gestures
Rung 3. Solemn and Formal DeclarationsRationality-of-Irrationality and Committal Strategies; The Rung 2 Escalation of the Summer of 1964; IV. TRADITIONAL CRISES; Basic Description and Definition; The Rungs of Traditional Crises; Rung 4. Hardening of Positions-Confrontation of Wills; Rung 5. Show of Force; Rung 6. Significant Mobilization; Rung 7. ""Legal"" Harassment-Retortions; Rung 8. Harassing Acts of Violence; Rung 9. Dramatic Military Confrontations; A Recent Example of a ""Traditional Crisis"" Scenario; V. INTENSE CRISES; Basic Description and Definition; The Rungs of Intense Crises
Rung 10. Provocative Breaking Off of Diplomatic RelationsRung 11. Super-Ready Status; Rung 12. Large Conventional War (or Actions); Rung 13. Large Compound Escalation; Rung 14. Declaration of Limited Conventional War; Rung 15. Barely Nuclear War; Rung 16. Nuclear Ultimatums -- Rung 17. Limited Evacuation (Approximately 20 per cent); Rung 18. Spectacular Show or Demonstration of Force; Rung 19. Justifiable Counterforce Attacks; Rung 20. Peaceful World-Wide Embargo or Blockade; VI. THE NUCLEAR THRESHOLD; The Saliency of the Nuclear Threshold
The Nuclear Threshold as a Prototype RestraintThe Nuclear Consensus -An Example of Systems Bargaining; The Considerations to Be Examined; Some Disadvantages to the U.S.; Pressures for Continued Escalation; The Immediate Consequences on the Wider Power Balance; Effects on Stability, the Arms Race, and Nuclear Proliferation; Some Additional Arguments in Favor of a Breach of the Nuclear Threshold; Recapitulation and Concluding Remarks on Preserving the Nuclear Threshold; Application of the ""No Nuclear Use"" Discussion to the Other Basic Thresholds
Notes VII. BIZARRE CRISES AND EXEMPLARY CENTRAL ATTACKS
Print version record
Subject Escalation (Military science)
Escalation (Military science)
Form Electronic book
Author Schelling, Thomas C
ISBN 9781351502214
1351502212