| Description |
xvi, 672 pages : illustrations ; 26 cm |
| Contents |
1. Uncertainty and decision-making -- 2. The concept of probability -- 3. Probability distributions, expectation and prevision -- 4. The concept of utility -- 5. Games and optimization -- 6. Entropy -- 7. Characteristic functions, transformed and limiting distributions -- 8. Exchangeability and inference -- 9. Extremes -- 10. Risk, safety and reliability -- 11. Data and simulation -- 12. Conclusion -- App. 1. Common probability distributions -- App. 2. Mathematical aspects |
| Summary |
"Decision-making and risk assessment are essential aspects of every engineer's life, whether concerned with the probability of failure of a new product within the warranty period or the potential cost, human and financial, of the failure of a major structure such as a bridge. This book helps the reader to understand the trade-offs between attributes such as cost and safety, and includes a wide range of worked examples based on case studies. It introduces the basic theory from first principles using a Bayesian approach to probability and covers all of the most widely used mathematical techniques likely to be encountered in real engineering projects. These include utility, extremes and risk analysis, as well as special areas of importance and interest in engineering, such as optimization, games and entropy. Equally valuable for senior undergraduate and graduate students, practising engineers, designers and project managers."--BOOK JACKET |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Subject |
Engineering -- Statistical methods.
|
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Decision making -- Statistical methods.
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Probabilities.
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| LC no. |
2004043587 |
| ISBN |
0521782775 |
|
9780521782775 : |
|
0521782775 : |
|
9780521782775 : |
|
0521782775 : |
|
0521782775 hardback |
|
