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E-book
Author Houssa, Romain.

Title The sources of business cycles in a low income country / Romain Houssa, Jolan Mohimont, and Christopher Otrok
Published [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2015

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Description 1 online resource (34 pages) : color illustrations
Series IMF working paper, 1018-5941 ; WP/15/40
IMF working paper ; WP/15/40.
Contents Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; List of figures; List of tables; 1. Introduction; 2. Background on Macroeconomic Conditions in Ghana; 1. Selected Macroeconomic indicators for Ghana (YoY percent); 2. Exchange Rates and International Reserves (YoY percent); 3. Methodology; 3.1 Bayesian Vector Auto-Regressive (BVAR) Model; 3.2 Credit and Productivity Shocks; 1. Data; 2. Identification Restrictions; 3.3 Commodity Price Shocks; 4. Empirical Results; 4.1 Global Shocks and Fluctuations in Ghana and South Africa; 3. G7 Credit Shocks; 4. G7 Productivity Shocks
4.2 Domestic Shocks and Fluctuations in Ghana and South Africa5. Domestic Credit Shocks; 6. Domestic Productivity Shocks; 4.3 Commodity Price Shocks; 7. Commodity Price Shocks; 4.4 Variance Decomposition Analysis; 3. Variance Decomposition for Credit and Productivity Shocks; 4. Variance Decomposition for Commodity Price Shocks; 5. Conclusions; 5. Data used in the Nowcasting; Footnotes
Summary We examine the role of global and domestic shocks in driving macroeconomic fluctuations for Ghana. We are able to study the impact of exogenous shocks including productivity, credit supply, and commodity price shocks. We identify the shocks with a combination of sign and recursive restrictions within Bayesian VAR models. As a benchmark we provide results for South Africa to document the difference between two economies with similar structures but different levels of development. We find that global shocks play a more dominant role in South Africa than in Ghana. These shocks operate through three channels: trade, credit and commodity prices.--Abstract
Notes "February 2015."
"Research Department and Strategy, Policy, and Review Department."
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 14-16)
Notes Online resource; title from pdf title page (IMF.org Web site, viewed February 26, 2015)
Subject Externalities (Economics)
Financial crises -- Ghana
Business cycles -- Ghana
Economic stabilization -- Ghana
Financial crises -- South Africa
Business cycles -- South Africa
Economic stabilization -- South Africa
Business cycles
Economic policy
Economic stabilization
Externalities (Economics)
Financial crises
SUBJECT Ghana -- Economic policy
South Africa -- Economic policy
Subject Ghana
South Africa
Form Electronic book
Author Mohimont, Jolan.
Otrok, Christopher.
International Monetary Fund. Research Department.
International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, and Review Department.
ISBN 9781484388198
1484388194
1498310141
9781498310147
9781498346924
1498346928