Title Russian futures 2030 : the shape of things to come / edited by Sinikukka Saari and Stanislav Secrieru with contributions from Marcin Kaczmarski, Janis Kluge, András Rácz, Tatiana Stanovaya and Andrew Wilson

Published Paris : European Union Institute for Security Studies, 2020 ©2020

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Description 1 online resource (103 pages) : illustrations, map Series Chaillot paper, 1683-4917 ; 159 Chaillot papers ; 159. 1683-4917 Contents Executive summary. -- Introduction, Sinikukka Saari and Stanislav Secrieru. -- Chapter 1: Global trends in the Russian context, the interplay that will shape the decade ahead, Sinikukka Saari and Stanislav Secrieru. -- Chapter 2: The Russian state and society at a crossroads, the twilight zone, Tatiana Stanovaya. -- Chapter 3: Russia's economy, from dusk till dawn? Janis Kluge. -- Chapter 4: Russia's military power, fast and furious -- or failing? András Rácz. -- Chapter 5: Russia and its post-Soviet 'frenemies', breaking free from the post-Soviet time loop? Andrew Wilson. -- Chapter 6: The future of Chinese-Russian relations, the next round of go, Marcin Kaczmarski. -- Conclusions, Sinikukka Saari and Stanislav Secrieru. Abbreviations. -- Notes on the contributors Summary This Chaillot Paper seeks to provide readers with ambitious foresight analysis and insights on how to be prepared for unexpected twists and turns in Russia's future trajectory. The opening chapter highlights a set of key megatrends that will shape how Russia evolves in the decade ahead. Subsequent chapters focus on key sectors and analyse critical uncertainties that will influence Russia's future course of development. They cover state-society relations in the country; its economic development and the evolution of its military posture; as well as how Russia's relations with the EU's eastern neighbours and China may unfold by 2030. Each of these chapters presents three alternative future scenarios. While they zoom in on specific themes and sectors, the concluding section offers a panoramic view of the various possible futures - combining elements of all of the preceding chapters to produce three holistic snapshots of Russia in 2030 Notes "August 2020." Bibliography Includes bibliographical references Notes Online resource; title from PDF title page (ISS, viewed September 26, 2020) Subject Economic development -- Russia (Federation) -- Forecasting -- 2020-2030 Economic development -- Forecasting. Military policy -- Forecasting. Politics and government -- Forecasting. SUBJECT Russia (Federation) -- Politics and government -- Forecasting -- 2020-2030 Russia (Federation) -- Military policy -- Forecasting -- 2020-2030 Russia (Federation) -- Foreign relations -- China -- Forecasting -- 2020-2030 Russia (Federation) -- Foreign relations -- Europe, Eastern -- Forecasting -- 2020-2030 Subject China. Eastern Europe. Russia (Federation) Form Electronic book Author Secrieru, Stanislav, editor, author. Kaczmarski, Marcin, author. Kluge, Janis, author Rácz, András, author Stanovaya, Tatiana, author Wilson, Andrew, author Institute for Security Studies (Paris, France), publisher. ISBN 9789291989652 9291989657 9789291989645 9291989649

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