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Book Cover
E-book
Author Golosov, Mikhail

Title Tax revenue forecasts in IMF-supported programs / Mikhail Golosov and John King
Published [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2002

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Description 1 online resource (23 pages) : illustrations
Series IMF working paper, 2227-8885 ; WP/02/236
IMF working paper ; WP/02/236.
Summary Year-ahead forecasts of tax revenues incorporated into IMF programs for low-income countries, from 1993 to 1999, are compared with the corresponding outturns. The accuracy of these forecasts was low, with a mean absolute percentage error of 16 percent. Forecasts of tax revenues as a percentage of GDP were biased upwards, but there was no significant bias in forecasts of nominal tax revenues. Upward bias in the tax revenue forecasts was associated with subsequent interruptions to the program, and the length of time between the commencement of the program and the beginning of the year for which the forecast was made
Notes Cover title
"December 2002"--Page 1
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 22-23)
Notes At head of title: Fiscal Affairs Department
Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002. http://purl.oclc.org/DLF/benchrepro0212 MiAaHDL
English
digitized 2010 HathiTrust Digital Library committed to preserve pda MiAaHDL
Print version record
Subject International Monetary Fund.
SUBJECT International Monetary Fund fast
Subject Tax revenue estimating -- Developing countries
Taxation -- Developing countries
Fiscal policy -- Developing countries
Gross domestic product -- Developing countries -- Forecasting
Fiscal policy
Tax revenue estimating
Taxation
Developing countries
Form Electronic book
Author King, J. R. (John Rawnsley), 1944-
International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Department.
ISBN 1283556731
9781283556736
9781451920291
1451920296
1462392032
9781462392032
1452706646
9781452706641
9786613869180
661386918X